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Why Apple cannot sit back on its 100,000 apps? [Opinion]

This is a great time to be writing this post. Like everyone else, I am excited about the launch of Motorola Droid and this is a great opportunity to take stock of the smart phone market. Today, I analyze the impact of Droid and other handsets on Apple, the de-facto smart phone leader.

Motorola-Droid-Image Apple iPhone-3gs

Apple had a significant early mover advantage in the smart phone arena and it has done well (so far) to protect its lead. However, unless Apple gets into the act quickly, the future may not be as rosy as the past. This assertion is based on the following points…

  1. Competing Handsets/Platforms: When the iPhone was launched, there was literally no other smart phone that was even half as good as the iPhone. Not surprisingly,  Apple scored a home run. However, things have come a long way since then. Android as a platform has come of age and is being developed rapidly. Android already has received support from several leading handset manufacturers including HTC, Motorola, Sony, Toshiba, etc. The amount of money pumped into the Android ecosystem far exceeds Apple’s investment in iPhone and we are already seeing the results. The latest Android phone – Droid is touted to be almost as good as (or even better than) the iPhone and the next generation phones will only get better. The year 2010 is touted as the Android year. A solitary iPhone may not meet everyone’s requirements, but the range of Android phones is sure to satisfy every requirement.
  2. Mobile Network: Apple’s exclusive contract with AT&T to carry the iPhone does not help either. AT&T is not the carrier of choice for a vast majority of the population. AT&T’s spotty network, limited 3G services, and exorbitant data plans have been ridiculed over and over again (remember there is a “map” for that!!). Consumers have greater (and better) choice with Android and other phones, e.g., Verizon, Sprint, etc.
  3. Apps: Apple’s biggest advantage is the number of apps in its app store. A recent statement puts the number of apps over 100,000. This is a huge lead as compared to the next biggest platform Android, which has about 10,000 apps. While Apple may bask in the glory of the size of its App store, reports indicate that most of these apps are useless and are seldom used. Android is already attracting developers to work on its platform – the number of Android projects started have grown over 94% in the recent past. Moreover, platforms other than the App store offer greater margins for the developers. Further, developers are not subjected to Apple’s whims and fancies.
  4. Google: The biggest threat to Apple comes directly from Google. Google has made no bones about its interest in the mobile space and Android provides a perfect platform for its mobile aspirations. Unlike Apple, Google has great apps to offer on its platform. The recent move to offer free turn by turn GPS on Android is in line with Google’s strategy to provide a compelling reason to consider Android. Google has several apps that enhance the smart phone experience, including Google Maps, Google Voice (mobile VoIP), Gmail, and Google Reader, among others. Thus, not only Google offers a great platform (Android), it offers compelling content to go with the platform.

To summarize, the future is definitely challenging for Apple. It needs to get its strategies in place to continue to be a leader in the industry. Whatever the case, the future looks promising for consumers. The increased competition will force everyone to produce its best…may the best phone prevail!!!

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  3. Thank you Google for the Google Phone!!! [Opinion]
  4. Best App to use Google Voice on your iPhone [Tools]
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  • sbuk
    Think outside the box (or in this case, your continent). The North american market is 4th out of 5 global markets, and is technologically behind Most of the EMEA and Asia Pacific/China regions. AT&T's performance is only relevant to the US market, in short it's a strawman argument.
  • That's en excellent point and your point is well taken.

    However, US (and AT&T) still accounts for bulk of iPhone sales (http://blogs.zoho.com/general/analyzing-iphone-...). Even if that was not the case, Apple decided to tie up with carriers where it can have an upper hand and it can be in a dictating position, which means it tied up with operators which may not have the best networks as compared to others operating in the same market (e.g., Apple has tied up with O2 instead of Vodafone, which seems to be the leading carrier).

    The point I want to make is that Apple had its way earlier on - when there was no option for the consumers. But things are changing (and not in favor of Apple) and hence it needs to be vigilant in the future.

    Thoughts??
  • That's en excellent point and your point is well taken.

    However, US (and AT&T) still accounts for bulk of iPhone sales (http://blogs.zoho.com/general/analyzing-iphone-...). Even if that was not the case, Apple decided to tie up with carriers where it can have an upper hand and it can be in a dictating position, which means it tied up with operators which may not have the best networks as compared to others operating in the same market (e.g., Apple has tied up with O2 instead of Vodafone, which seems to be the leading carrier).

    The point I want to make is that Apple had its way earlier on - when there was no option for the consumers. But things are changing (and not in favor of Apple) and hence it needs to be vigilant in the future.

    Thoughts??
  • That's en excellent point and your point is well taken.

    However, US (and AT&T) still accounts for bulk of iPhone sales (http://blogs.zoho.com/general/analyzing-iphone-...). Even if that was not the case, Apple decided to tie up with carriers where it can have an upper hand and it can be in a dictating position, which means it tied up with operators which may not have the best networks as compared to others operating in the same market (e.g., Apple has tied up with O2 instead of Vodafone, which seems to be the leading carrier).

    The point I want to make is that Apple had its way earlier on - when there was no option for the consumers. But things are changing (and not in favor of Apple) and hence it needs to be vigilant in the future.

    Thoughts??
  • Tom B
    "Android already has received support from several leading handset manufacturers including HTC, Motorola, Sony, Toshiba, etc."

    Apple is "threatened" because a bunch of hack companies who have NEVER turned out even ONE decent phone are all making another attempt? I'm SO scared!

    "AT&T is not the carrier of choice for a vast majority of the population"

    I guess you've never used Verizon. Verizon is awful; it isn't even GSM.

    ..."most of these iPhone apps are useless and are seldom used."

    99% of anything-- music, pop culture-- is junk.

    "Android is already attracting developers to work on its platform – the number of Android projects started have grown over 94% in the recent past."

    The Android dev environment, though, is not very sophisticated-- mostly Java.

    "Unlike Apple, Google has great apps to offer on its platform."

    Google has great search; great apps, they DON'T have.

    Maybe Android 3 will be interesting, but the current Android 2 is another weak effort.
  • Firstly, thanks a lot for stopping by and commenting!! These are some great points...let me now respond to some of them...

    "Apple is "threatened" because a bunch of hack companies who have NEVER turned out even ONE decent phone are all making another attempt? I'm SO scared!"

    Well, wasn't Apple one of such "hack companies" when it introduced iPhone. One of the key points in the innovation research is that new entrants (within an industry) can introduce radical innovation (smart phones in this case), but the incumbents can always match them if they have the resources. Moreoever, I am just claiming that now there are these companies who have "some" understanding of the mobile business and they are capable of producing great phones.

    "I guess you've never used Verizon. Verizon is awful; it isn't even GSM."

    I guess, you've never used AT&T....if Verizon is awful...AT&T is not even worth talking about. No carrier is perfect...we are looking for the lesser evil.

    "99% of anything-- music, pop culture-- is junk."

    Precisely the point....absolute numbers do not mean anything...it is quality over quantity. Having 100,000 apps is not a competitive advantage that Apple can boast for too long - that is the fundamental argument of this article.

    "The Android dev environment, though, is not very sophisticated-- mostly Java."

    I am not a smart phone developer, but if what you said is true, it can be a huge advantage for Android platform. Java as a platform, has already already proved its capability and I do not have to argue about that. In addition, there are a large number of developers already trained in Java and thus in a great position to develop apps for Android.

    "Google has great search; great apps, they DON'T have. "

    Gmail, Google Maps, Blogger, Youtube...just to name a few!!!

    "Maybe Android 3 will be interesting, but the current Android 2 is another weak effort."

    I completely agree with you...Android 2 is a great leap from where it was. Look at the relative growth of iPhone OS and Android over the past 2-3 years - Android has matured much faster from where it was....imagine if it continues to develop like this it will soon be as good, if not better than the iPhone OS, which again means Apple cannot just sit back and relax on its 100,000 apps.

    In summary, I would like to reiterate that having a huge app base is not going to keep Apple on top. Apple needs to realize that Android already has a foothold in the market and if it does not react quickly, things may not be as rosy...
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